I love my boy....







In bird news, Tweet 2 was plucking Peach's head, so we had to trade in Tweet 2. I just cant borrow anymore trouble, and taking home birds who are already showing behavioral problems is not a good idea. So, after some trials with other Green Cheek Conures who also attacked the little Yellow Peach, we settled on Tweet 3, who seems to get along with Peach great and is very gentle...and also a Yellow Sided Green Cheeked Conure. This whole time I was playing with my friends the Green Ring Necks, 2 of whom are really friendly and so sweet. I actually have a little tug-o-war bird movie that Im trying to figure how to post here...but more on that as I have the time.
My beautiful boy is in the hospital, and overcoming quite a bad thing...but is one of the bravest people that I have ever known....I miss him horribly and cant wait till visiting hours tomorrow.
Just to round it all out, my pup, Angelina, a small rescue Boston Terrier, who has been very sick in the ...um...maybe almost a year, since we've had her...is sick again and sort of lame. Lyme disease? ...no fever...who knows? So, its back and forth to the vet, with the bird store still being my favorite stop if I can cram it into these busy days. The new babies are so incredible. I will have to get some pictures of them....they are just fantastic.
My cousin, Faye, from Cape Cod is somewhere in Greenwich right now setting up her art show at the Bruce Museum and going to stay in the guest spot here...but I doubt Ill see much of her unless I can get to the show in the next couple of days. Catch it if you can..she is the cool metal worker with the beautiful fire screens and other great artwork that she hand fashions by welding and ingenuity.
On to politics and mainly what I could read in waiting rooms today...I am sorely behind on whats happening in the world...except for the weather of course, and the deluge which is running thought my basement as I type! I am getting a sump pump for myself as soon as possible! It didnt used to be this floody here but the whole climate is changing and what was a once a year thing has now happened 4 times in 2 weeks!
Today Tom Friedman has a piece in the Times about how global outsourcing is coming back around in a huge cycle...almost as if soon India will be outsourcing jobs back to the decimated American cities that used to have secure jobs for Americans with hope of someday seeing their kids go to college and having a retirement of sorts. When the jobs come back around they will be very low wage and with no security, but hell, like the "manufacturing" jobs that are flooding back into America to take the place of the outsourced tech jobs, they are at least jobs that can be counted...for people who keep track of these things on paper.
Yeah...but how do we guarantee that everyone makes a living wage all the way around? If everything comes round again, do the salaries bounce back or have wages, security, and benefits been permanently lowered? I dont believe that outsourcing is about any sort of global movement and lifting the second or third worlds out of poverty, but rather about making more money for the top officers of corporations...you can say that people in small villages in India are lifted out of poverty by making 2 cents a day, but what about the people who used to have those jobs? Are they not then plunged into poverty themselves? The money saved goes directly into profit margins and out of the pockets of workers, thus creating new poverty in the places where the jobs previously were...How does that help the global economy besides lining the pockets of a select few?
Pay everyone a fair wage and give them benefits...tax the jobs outsourced rather than giving corporations a tax break for every job outsourced...Use the taxes to help retrain the people who are out of a job and to help small business grow.....regulate this stuff just a little and then see how far this idea goes before we see the corporations roll back into town espousing a "purely American made and supported brand."....
May 19, 2006
Op-Ed Columnist
Outsourcing, Schmoutsourcing! Out Is Over
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
I was on my way from downtown Budapest to the airport the other day when my driver, Jozsef Bako, mentioned that if I had any friends who were planning to come to Hungary, they should just contact him through his Web site: www.fclimo.hu. He explained that he could show people online all the different cars he has to offer and they could choose what they wanted.
"How much business do you get online?" I asked him. "About 20 to 25 percent," the Communist-era-engineer-turned-limo-proprietor said.
The former secretary of state James Baker III used to say that you know you're out of office "when your limousine is yellow and your driver speaks Farsi." I would say, "You know that the global economy is spinning off all kinds of new business models when your Hungarian driver has his own Web site in English, Magyar and German — with background music."
Jozsef's online Hungarian limo company is one of many new business models I've come across lately that are clearly expanding the global economy in ways that are not visible to the naked eye.
I was recently interviewing Ramalinga Raju, chairman of India's Satyam Computer Services. Satyam is one of India's top firms doing outsourced work from America, and Mr. Raju told me how Satyam had just started outsourcing some of its American work to Indian villages. The outsourcee has become the outsourcer.
Mr. Raju said: "We told ourselves: if business process outsourcing can be done from cities in India to support cities in the developed world, why can't it be done by villages in India to support cities in India. ... Things like processing employee records can be done from anywhere, so there is no reason it can't be done from a village." Satyam began with two villages a year ago and plans to scale up to 150.
There is enough bandwidth now, even reaching big Indian villages, to parcel out this work, and the villagers are very eager. "The attrition level is low, and the commitment levels high," Mr. Raju said. "It is a way of breathing economic life into villages." It gives educated villagers a chance to stay on the land, he said, and not have to migrate to the cities.
A short time later I was interviewing Katie Jacobs Stanton, a senior product manager at Google, and Krishna Bharat, founder of Google's India lab. They told me that Google had just launched Google Finance, but what was interesting was that Google Finance was entirely conceived by the Google team in India and then Google engineers from around the world fed into that team — rather than the project's being driven by Google headquarters in Silicon Valley.
It's called "around sourcing" instead of outsourcing, because there is no more "out" anymore. Out is over.
"We don't have the idea of two kinds of engineers — ones who think of things and others who implement them," Ms. Stanton said. "We just told the team in India to think big, and what they came back with was Google Finance." Mr. Bharat added: "We have entered the generation of the virtual office. Product development happens across the global campus now."
Last story. I'm in gray Newark speaking to local businessmen. I meet Andy Astor, chief executive of EnterpriseDB, which provides special features for the open-source database called PostgreSQL. His primary development team, he tells me, consists of 60 Pakistani engineers in Islamabad, who interact with the New Jersey headquarters via Internet-based videoconferencing.
"The New Jersey team — software architects, product managers and executives — comes to work a couple of hours early, while the Islamabad team comes in late, and we have at least five to six hours per day of overlap," Mr. Astor said. "We therefore have multiple face-to-face meetings every day, which makes a huge difference for communication quality. ... We treat videoconference meetings as if we were all in the same room."
What all these stories tell me is that we are seeing the emergence of collaborative business models that were simply unimaginable a decade ago. Today, there are so many more tools, so many more ideas, so many more people able to put these ideas and tools together to discover new things, and so much better communications to disseminate these new ideas across the globe.
If more countries can get just a few basic things right — enough telecom and bandwidth so their people can get connected; steadily improving education; decent, corruption-free economic governance; and the rule of law — and we can find more sources of clean energy, there is every reason for optimism that we could see even faster global growth in this century, with many more people lifted out of poverty.
And now for some Krugman:
May 19, 2006
Op-Ed Columnist
Coming Down to Earth
By PAUL KRUGMAN
Um, wasn't the stock market supposed to bounce back after Wednesday's big drop?
We shouldn't read too much into a couple of days' movements in stock prices. But it seems that investors are suddenly feeling uneasy about the state of the economy. They should be; the puzzle is why they haven't been uneasy all along.
The rise in stock prices that began last fall was essentially based on the belief that the U.S. economy can defy gravity — that both individuals and the nation as a whole can spend more than their income, not on a temporary basis, but more or less indefinitely.
To be fair, for a while the data seemed to confirm that belief. In 2005, the trade deficit passed $700 billion, yet the dollar actually rose against the euro and the yen. Housing prices soared, yet houses kept selling. The price of gasoline neared $3 a gallon, yet consumers kept buying both gas and other items, even though they had to borrow to keep spending (the personal savings rate went negative for the first time since the 1930's).
Over the last few weeks, however, gravity seems to have started reasserting itself.
The dollar began falling about a month ago. So far it's down less than 10 percent against the euro and the yen, but there's a definite sense that foreign governments, in particular, are becoming less willing to keep the dollar strong by buying lots of U.S. debt.
The housing market seems to be weakening rapidly. As late as last October, the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo housing market index, a measure of builders' confidence, was still close to the high point it reached last summer. But on Monday the association announced that the index had fallen to its lowest level since 1995.
Finally, there are preliminary indications that consumers, hard-pressed by high gasoline prices, may be reaching their limit.
The National Retail Federation, reporting on a new survey, warns that "while consumers have seemed resilient in the face of higher energy costs, a tipping point may soon be in sight."
I can't resist pointing out that the Bush administration's response to the squeeze on working families has been, you guessed it, to accuse the news media of biased reporting.
On May 10 the White House issued a press release titled "Setting the Record Straight: The New York Times Continues to Ignore America's Economic Progress." The release attacked The Times for asserting that paychecks weren't keeping up with fixed costs like medical care and gasoline. The White House declared, "But average hourly earnings have risen 3.8 percent over the past 12 months, their largest increase in nearly five years."
On Wednesday Treasury Secretary John Snow repeated that boast before a House committee. However, Representative Barney Frank was ready. He asked whether the number was adjusted for inflation; after flailing about, Mr. Snow admitted, sheepishly, that it wasn't. In fact, nearly all of the wage increase was negated by higher prices.
Meanwhile, the return of economic gravity poses a definite threat to U.S. economic growth. After all, growth over the past three years was driven mainly by a housing boom and rapid growth in consumer spending. People were able to buy houses, even though housing prices rose much faster than incomes, because foreign purchases of U.S. debt kept interest rates low. People were able to keep spending, even though wages didn't keep up with inflation, because mortgage refinancing let them turn the rising value of their houses into ready cash.
As I summarized it awhile back, we became a nation in which people make a living by selling one another houses, and they pay for the houses with money borrowed from China.
Now that game seems to be coming to an end. We're going to have to find other ways to make a living — in particular, we're going to have to start selling goods and services, not just I.O.U.'s, to the rest of the world, and/or replace imports with domestic production. And adjusting to that new way of making a living will take time.
Will we have that time? Ben Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, contends that what's happening in the housing market is "a very orderly and moderate kind of cooling." Maybe he's right. But if he isn't, the stock market drop of the last two days will be remembered as the start of a serious economic slowdown.
















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